It doesn’t take much to chase borrowers from the mortgage market. A tiny bump in loan rates caused mortgage applications to drop 14.4% in the Mortgage Bankers Association’s recent survey, for the week ending Nov.12.
A big part of the drop was a 16.5% decrease in refinancings, which account for about 80% of mortgage applications.
The MBA’s survey showed rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rising to 4.46% from 4.28% the week before, a small increase, but clearly enough to give some homeowners second thoughts about refinancing. Many probably hope that rates will fall back, making a wait worthwhile. And of course, it’s easier to postpone a refinancing than to push through a loan application for a home purchase.
But will a wait pay off? It’s hard to know. A spate of good economic news – or, more correctly, less bad economic news – pushed the rates up. And the economy has enough problems that bad news could easily follow, driving rates down.
But waiting to refinance does have costs that should be weighed against the potential benefits.
Homeowners refinance when rates fall enough that a new loan will reduce monthly payments enough to offset refinancing costs. If you keep the mortgage past that break-even point, you'll come out ahead.
Postponing a refinancing in hopes of getting a lower rate will force you to pay the older, higher rate longer. If it is significantly higher, holding out for a minor drop in the new rate may not pay off.
Fortunately, tools like BankingMyWay's Refinance Breakeven Calculator can help make sense of it all.